In
order to know whether biofuels could be a major climate solution, the
scale of low-carbon energy deployment needed to avert climate
catastrophe must be understood.
According to the Latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, if
carbon emissions average 11 billion tons a year (GtC/yr) this century,
then carbon cycle feedbacks will probably take us to atmospheric
concentrations of 1000 ppm of carbon dioxide and some 5.5°C warming from preindustrial levels. And I think we can probably all agree that is the end of life on this planet as we know it
with the loss of the inland glaciers that provide water to a billion
people, widespread desertification for up to one third of the planet,
loss of most species on land and sea, and ultimately an ice free planet
with sea levels up to 250 feet higher.
Unfortunately, unless we sharply reverse national and global energy
policy, we'll be over 11 GtC/yr in 2020. So what would it take to then
freeze at 11 GtC/yr for most of the rest of the century? It would
require 11 of Princeton's "stabilization wedges"
-- strategies and/or technologies that over a period of a few decades
each reduce global carbon emissions by one billion metric tons per year
from projected levels. Click to enlarge the figure.
SEE THE ORIGINAL BLOG FOR MORE DETAILS AT THE LINKS:
http://www.epa.gov/chp/documents/biomass_chp_catalog_part5.pdf